Forecasting oil prices. Trailing correlations The Crude Oil Mispricing model, presented in MS Excel worksheet format, assesses what the price of crude oil should have been if the historical relationship between crude oil and a given commodity were to have continued into the future. Vice versa,
The relative gold price model, presented in MS Excel worksheet format, assesses the relative value of Gold against that of other commodities. It is used to: Highlight trends in the relationships between gold and a given commodity Identify points when relations broke-down or when a
Our summarized outlook was simple. Oil demand growth is likely to remain stunted given high prices and a number of major issues structurally which will remove any impetus for an oil price shock similar to the one that we witnessed in 2008. With additional supply coming back to the market from Iraq and Libya, Europe struggling with the fallout of the PIGS crisis and the slowdown in China the demand situation was not likely to be rosy.
So the question you have to answer before you add more to your position of Gold is what does the most recent downward revision in the Gold/Silver ratio implies? Will gold head south or like 2003 take off for another heady ride to an all time high?
The Risk Treasury Resource Guide was specifically designed to address all 8 problems identified above. It is a subscription based online portal that
Combines the best of html content with training videos, take away pdf notes and downloadable excel templates on a fixed price training platforms.
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Designed primarily for Treasury RM’s, FI and Correspondent banking team members spread across the world who cannot access live training on account of travel restrictions, budgets, timing conflicts or simply need an active on call reference and resource guide.
Covers the full range of courses from basic corporate finance to advance derivative pricing cataloguing more than 40 online courses. Current inventory covers topics in Fixed Income, FX, Commodities, Risk, Interest Rate Models, Basel II, Monte Carlo simulations and derivative pricing.
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Short half day and full day format applied and corporate finance training courses coming soon to the Capital Club at DIFC in Dubai (UAE) and locations in Abu Dhabi and Al-Ain in collaboration with our DIFC Partners, Kinetrix Limited. Courses cover a range of hands on practical topics from treasury risk to project finance, from interest rate modeling to understanding commodities risk.
Our apologies for the intermittant outage at the site triggered by a rogue wordpress plugin that went on a rampage starting Wednesday morning and was finally resolved this Sunday am. Sanity has finally been restored and the site is up and back in action. In
While it is difficult to get a pitch out in less than 18 hours of class room instructions, most students really put their heart out in sharing their dreams. Still there are a number of common pitfalls that we see every year that if addressed can dramatically increase the quality of their pitches. Here is my shortlist of why a plan would not make it to the shortlist of business plan pitches below
Five River does Pakistan – Our independence day gift from Lahore, pepperpk, Amir Hussain and Hasan Rizvi
It’s been a while since I saw something which is representative of the Pakistan I know. Five River in Lahore does a piece on the real Pakistan, the one hidden away from the rest of the world by the WSJ, FT, Times, Newyork Post and
It looks like a day for social innovation. Here is one more Jehan.