Our summarized outlook was simple. Oil demand growth is likely to remain stunted given high prices and a number of major issues structurally which will remove any impetus for an oil price shock similar to the one that we witnessed in 2008. With additional supply coming back to the market from Iraq and Libya, Europe struggling with the fallout of the PIGS crisis and the slowdown in China the demand situation was not likely to be rosy.
So the question you have to answer before you add more to your position of Gold is what does the most recent downward revision in the Gold/Silver ratio implies? Will gold head south or like 2003 take off for another heady ride to an all time high?