Gold Price Forecasts: Extending our simple gold price models.
2 mins read In our last article on Gold relative value: using commodity mispricing to forecast gold prices , we reviewed a number
Monte Carlo Simulation – Simulating returns by replacing the normal distribution with historical returns
5 mins read Simulating Commodity Prices Our course on Building Monte Carlo Simulators in Excel and related available-for-sale excel examples for Commodities, Currencies
Forecasting Oil prices. Commodity Prices and Trailing Correlations
4 mins read Forecasting oil prices. Trailing correlations The Crude Oil Mispricing model, presented in MS Excel worksheet format, assesses what the price of
Relative Gold Price Model – Forecasting the price of gold
3 mins read The relative gold price model, presented in MS Excel worksheet format, assesses the relative value of Gold against that of
Understanding Crude Oil. A model for dissecting crude oil
< 1 min read Our summarized outlook was simple. Oil demand growth is likely to remain stunted given high prices and a number of major issues structurally which will remove any impetus for an oil price shock similar to the one that we witnessed in 2008. With additional supply coming back to the market from Iraq and Libya, Europe struggling with the fallout of the PIGS crisis and the slowdown in China the demand situation was not likely to be rosy.
Gold price forecast. Using relative value as a trading signal.
9 mins read So the question you have to answer before you add more to your position of Gold is what does the most recent downward revision in the Gold/Silver ratio implies? Will gold head south or like 2003 take off for another heady ride to an all time high?