US Rig productivity, rig count and US oil production. Relationship or paradox? Pick up any news source and every week for the last few weeks you will see a mention of the steep decline in US rig counts beginning November 2014. From validating the Saudi oil
Doha Oil Output Freeze talks. 7 Questions for Oil trading playbook in April. On April 17th 2016 a dozen key oil producers, OPEC members and non-members, will meet in Doha, Qatar to discuss the future of oil prices. The big item on the table is
Iran oil economy. Nowroz comes to Tehran. Nowroz, the Persian New Year arrives 21st March. As Tehran shrugs off a mild winter there is optimism about coming months. Iran’s journey on the road of isolation ended in December 2015. The flurry of activity it triggered is
Saudi oil strategy. How low can they go? The opinion on Saudi oil strategy is divided. Planned mayhem and chaos in exchange for market share versus an over played hand. While we may all have some beef with Saudi Arabia, smart money when it comes to
Russian roulette. Oil prices and Russia. All is apparently not well in Moscow. After two years of isolation, internal belt tightening and months of unabated oil price declines, the Russian economy is struggling to answer a core question. How do you bridge the gap between
Oil prices and China. The key question that we need to answer is not if the Chinese economy is slowing down. It is how China is going to drive crude oil demand for the next two years. If and when the Chinese dragon roll, which direction
The knives are out in the oil market. It has been an interesting twelve months. Between bottoms, volatility, rumors and market shifts we have seen many interesting plays at work when it comes to trading crude oil. Depending on who you speak with, low crude
Crude Oil price forecasting models – 11 images in 11 minutes. Recent years have seen an increase in the volatility of oil prices. This should not come as a surprise; the prices of oil are dependent upon several external factors, only some of them economic
FRM training lecture. MBA FRM Course, SP Jain Dubai, June 2012. This is the actual transcript from the Shortfall session of my Financial Risk Management (FRM) course run at SP Jain, Dubai in June 2012. The language and tone is conversational and has been preserved
Will it go up or come down? At US$100+ a barrel for WTI and 120+ for Brent, Crude Oil has stayed higher at these level much longer than we expected. The only question is if this stability is here to stay or are we going